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<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.0 20120330//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">INFORMATICA</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Informatica</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">0868-4952</issn><issn pub-type="ppub">0868-4952</issn><publisher><publisher-name>VU</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">INF13407</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3233/INF-2002-13407</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Research of Neural Network Methods for Compound Stock Exchange Indices Analysis</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="Author"><name><surname>Plikynas</surname><given-names>Darius</given-names></name><email xlink:href="mailto:d.plikynas@delfi.lt">d.plikynas@delfi.lt</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_INFORMATICA_aff_000"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="Author"><name><surname>Simanauskas</surname><given-names>Leonas</given-names></name><email xlink:href="mailto:leonas.simanauskas@ef.vu.lt">leonas.simanauskas@ef.vu.lt</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_INFORMATICA_aff_001"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="Author"><name><surname>Būda</surname><given-names>Sigitas</given-names></name><email xlink:href="mailto:s.buda@it.lt">s.buda@it.lt</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_INFORMATICA_aff_002"/></contrib><aff id="j_INFORMATICA_aff_000">Department of Theoretical Economics, Vilnius University, Saulėtekio 9, 2040 Vilnius, Lithuania</aff><aff id="j_INFORMATICA_aff_001">Department of Economical Informatics, Vilnius University, Saulėtekio 9, 2040 Vilnius, Lithuania</aff><aff id="j_INFORMATICA_aff_002">Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, Akademijos 4, LT-2021 Vilnius, Lithuania</aff></contrib-group><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>01</month><year>2002</year></pub-date><volume>13</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>465</fpage><lpage>484</lpage><history><date date-type="received"><day>01</day><month>08</month><year>2002</year></date></history><abstract><p>The presented article is about a research using artificial neural network (ANN) methods for compound (technical and fundamental) analysis and prognosis of Lithuania's National Stock Exchange (LNSE) indices LITIN, LITIN-A and LITIN-VVP. We employed initial pre-processing (analysis for entropy and correlation) for filtering out model input variables (LNSE indices, macroeconomic indicators, Stock Exchange indices of other countries such as the USA – Dow Jones and S&amp;P, EU – Eurex, Russia – RTS). Investigations for the best approximation and forecasting capabilities were performed using different backpropagation ANN learning algorithms, configurations, iteration numbers, data form-factors, etc. A wide spectrum of different results has shown a high sensitivity to ANN parameters. ANN autoregressive, autoregressive causative and causative trend model performances were compared in the approximation and forecasting by a linear discriminant analysis.</p></abstract><kwd-group><label>Keywords</label><kwd>neural networks</kwd><kwd>artificial intelligence</kwd><kwd>forecasting</kwd><kwd>time series</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front></article>