This research presents a novel hybrid portfolio optimization framework that combines the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) algorithm with two Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods, MEREC and WEDBA, specifically to overcome fundamental shortcomings in the standard HRP model. The central goal is to alleviate the chaining problem and resolve HRP’s difficulty in identifying the optimal number of clusters, issues known to negatively affect portfolio diversification and risk allocation. To achieve this structural improvement, the Elbow method is integrated directly into the HRP process, ensuring a robust cluster structure is defined before any weight allocation occurs. The MEREC method is then utilized to calculate objective criterion weights, while the WEDBA approach is employed to assess the financial performance of individual assets within each cluster generated by HRP. This HRP–MCDM algorithm is tested using daily closing price data for stocks on the BIST 100 Index covering the 2018–2022 period. The performance of portfolios generated across seven distinct linkage methods (Ward, single, complete, average, weighted, centroid, and median) is rigorously benchmarked against the outcomes from the traditional HRP approach. Findings demonstrate that the HRP–MCDM framework significantly boosts both return levels and risk-adjusted metrics, especially when using the single and Ward linkage method, thereby surpassing the standard HRP algorithm in the majority of test cases. By strategically blending machine-learning-based risk clustering with objective, multi-criteria evaluation, this study makes a vital methodological contribution to the portfolio optimization domain, equipping investors with a more stable, transparent, and performance-focused asset allocation instrument.
Pub. online:26 Feb 2025Type:Research ArticleOpen Access
Journal:Informatica
Volume 36, Issue 1 (2025), pp. 33–63
Abstract
Sustainable practices are essential for long-term societal development, minimizing environmental impacts while promoting the efficient use of resources. Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approaches can play a vital role in assessing and prioritizing sustainability solutions by considering diverse economic, social, and environmental factors. This study proposes a multi-criteria group decision-making approach based on the Objective Pairwise Adjusted Ratio Analysis (OPARA) method in a fuzzy environment and presents its application for the assessment of sustainable agriculture solutions. In the proposed approach, the evaluation criteria weights are determined by combining subjective weights from experts and objective weights obtained from the MEREC (Method Based on the Removal Effects of Criteria) method. The Relative Preference Relation (RPR) approach is employed for ranking fuzzy numbers and final evaluation. Sensitivity analysis and comparison with other methods are conducted to assess the robustness and validity of the proposed approach. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in evaluating solutions. Based on the final evaluation from the case study, the most important criteria are “Availability and quality of water”, “Focus on immediate economic returns”, and “Financial incentives and access to credit”, while the most suitable solutions for advancing sustainable agriculture are “Financial and credit support”, “Education and enhancement of farmers’ knowledge”, and “Enhancement of research and development”.